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COFFEE CALCULATORS
Analysts wrong-footed by corn price dip - but not by falls in soy, wheat

Brokers had banked on retreats in soy and wheat prices, but not in corn, FocusEconomics data show. In softs, analysts are upbeat on prices

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Hedge fund shorts leave softs 'collectively vulnerable' to a rally
... says Judith Ganes-Chase, while noting that large stocks in importing nations curb prospects for a coffee rally. Cotton is her top pick
Hedge funds 'aggressive' buyers in grains - and 'more to come'
... in corn and soy, some say, in which funds remain net short as US weather fears are growing. Funds are now more short in softs than grains
Brazil, Honduras worries offer, some, hope for coffee bulls
The International Coffee Organization says coffee markets are "well supplied" but sees some reason for putting risk premium into prices
Arabica coffee futures ease, despite Colombian output downturn
Colombia's coffee output falls year on year for a fourth successive month. But is a surge in Honduran exports more significant?
Hedge funds wrong-footed, again, by downbeat grain bets
Hedge funds ramped up bearish bets on corn and soy ahead of gains in futures - which will likely foster short-covering, and further price rises
Commerz upbeat on prices of cocoa and - for now - arabica coffee too
The bank cuts forecast for prices of cocoa and arabica, but to levels above the futures curve. The outlook on sugar futures is more neutral
Markets 'underpricing' arabica coffee futures, says Marex
... flagging the role of a "huge reallocation of fund assets" in driving futures to 15-month lows, and seeing upbeat signals in cash markets
Hedge funds hike bearish bets on softs to record high - 'heralding price gains'
Speculators lift bearish betting on cocoa, coffee, cotton and sugar to an all-time high, while cutting short positions in wheat - at a loss
Rabo 'bullish' on arabica, sugar futures - but cautious on grain prices
The bank cuts forecasts for arabica coffee and sugar prices, but to levels above the futures curve, while proving less upbeat on grain values
SocGen calls time on bearish arabica bet - as premium hits historic low
The bank closes a call for investors to bet on a shrinking arabica premium over robusta coffee - as the gap hits its lowest since 2008
Hedge funds, wrong-footed by grains rally, 'swallow losses'
Hedge funds' surprising spring bearish spree on grain price falls appears to have led to losses. Still, many look in the money on sugar
World coffee stocks to shrink to six-year low in 2017-18
... says the USDA, noting that while demand will hit a record high, coffee output will stay flat. But the make-up of the stocks is unusual too
Feature
Ag trade in the era of Trump and Brexit - new Agrimoney report

Donald Trump's election, and dynamics evident in Brexit, pose big questions - including in agriculture. A new Agrimoney report gives answers

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