PRINTABLE VERSION   EMAIL TO A FRIEND   RSS FEEDS 22:08 UK, 22nd Jan 2010, by Agrimoney.com
American cocoa grind revival runs out of steam

The recovery in North America's cocoa grind ran out of steam at the end of last year, industry data has shown, putting a dampener on the commodity's attempts to set a fresh 32-year high.

The region's chocolate makers processed 111,986 tonnes of cocoa beans in the October-to-December quarter, the National Confectioners Association said.

The figure represented a fall of 1,748 tonnes, or 1.5%, compared with the same period in 2008, ending a series of narrowing year-on-year declines.

The grind was also lower than in the previous quarter.

"Maybe people hoped the data would be a bit better," Stephanie Garner, at Sucden Financial Cocoa, said, with some traders expecting the grind to show little if any decline.

"The market did open a bit lower."

Market reaction 

Prices eased £7 to £2,320 a tonne in early deals in London, for the March contract, before recovering to end at £2,340 a tonne, up £13 on the day. New York cocoa ended down $6 to $3,425 a tonne.

Nonetheless, York prices are not far from a December peak of $3,510 a tonne, the highest since February 1979 for a near-term lot.

London contract remain within striking distance of the 32-year high, for a spot lot, of £2,356 a tonne set on Thursday.

Lagging recovery 

Cocoa prices have been driven higher by forecasts of a fourth successive year of cocoa production falling behind recovering demand.

North American cocoa grind 2009, by quarter (year-on-year change)

Q4: 111,986 tonnes (-1.5%)

Q3: 118,405 tonnes (-0.5%)

Q2: 105,123 tonnes (-6.8%)

Q1: 99.875 tonnes (-13.0%)

Total: 435,389 tonnes (-5.4%)

Source: NCA

Europe's cocoa grind returned to year-on-year growth in the last three months of 2009, industry data showed.

However, Barry Callebaut, the Swiss-based chocolate giant, warned last week that America's chocolate market was "not recovering yet".

The group was one of 11 companies, including Hershey, Mars and Nestle, surveyed by the NCA.

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