Food prices rose last month at their fastest pace since
2009, led by the strongest rise in cereal values in more than four years, the
United Nations said – as futures signalled further increases on their way.
The price of food rose 6.2%, adjusted for background
inflation, in July, the strongest pace of increase since November 2009, as
values were recovering from world recession, the UN food agency, the Food and
Agriculture Organization, said.
The "sharp rebound", which came despite "little change" in prices
of dairy or meat products, was "mostly driven by a surge in grain and sugar
prices", the FAO said.
Sugar values rose by 11.7% on the month in real terms, their
fastest pace in a year, a rally "triggered by untimely rains in Brazil, the
world's largest sugar exporter, which hampered sugarcane harvesting.
"Concerns over India's delayed monsoon and poor rains in
Australia also contributed."
Corn leads
Cereals prices soared 17.1%, their strongest increase since
February 2008, in the run up to the last spike in values.
While rice prices remained "mostly unchanged", wheat values
rose 19%, "amid worsened production prospects in the Russian Federation and
expectations of firm demand for wheat as feed because of tight corn supplies".
Estimates for Russia's dryness-hit wheat harvest have been
placed potentially as low as 40.5m tonnes by SovEcon, a figure which would put
it below the drought-dented crop in 2010 which prompted the country to
introduce an export ban.
Meanwhile, corn prices soared nearly 23% last month, lifted
by "the severe deterioration of crop prospects in the United States following
extensive drought damage".
While the drought also lifted soybean prices to record highs
during the month, vegetable oil prices overall showed a relatively small
increase, of 2.4%.
"The current and prospective ample availabilities of palm,
sunflower and rapeseed oil prevented the index from rising more pronouncedly,"
the FAO said.
Contract high
The data came amid a fresh rise in grain prices, ahead of a
US Department of Agriculture report on Friday expected to make sharp downgrades
to estimates for US corn and soybean crops, and wheat harvests in countries
such as Kazakhstan and Russia.
Chicago corn futures for December delivery, the best-traded
contract, set a fresh contract high of $8.29 ¾ a bushel before easing as of 11:15
local time (17:15 UK time) to stand at $8.25 ½ a bushel, a gain of 1.1%.
"Traders are adjusting positions" ahead of Friday's data,
said Paul Georgy at broker Allendale.
"Comments from clients are 'if it is not bullish, it can't
be bearish'."