PRINTABLE VERSION   EMAIL TO A FRIEND   RSS FEEDS 20:49 UK, 13th Aug 2010, by Agrimoney.com
Russian 'panic' prompts plans for corn imports

"Panic"-stricken Russian corn consumers are planning imports, while Egypt is "aggressively" buying up wheat, reports said, as the fallout of the poor former Soviet Union crop continued its upheaval of the grain trade.

Many Russian livestock farmers are "in a panic and fearful of the situation" because of waning feed supplies, Alex Kholopov, an adviser to the US Grains Council said.

The squeeze reflects a reluctance by grain growers to sell down stocks, hoping that prices elevated by the country's worst drought on record would get even higher, and despite the export ban which has cut off their access to foreign buyers.

"Some of the top Russian corn consumers believe there will not be enough grain in Russia this year," Mr Kholopov said, adding that they were "making plans to import corn from other countries".

Russia, which is attempting to ramp up its livestock industry, has also unveiled plans to release grain from state stockpiles.

Egyptian millers squeeze 

The statement followed a revision to US Department of Agriculture estimates which quadrupled to 650,000 tonnes the department's estimate for Russian wheat imports in 2010-11, and to 700,000 tonnes the forecast for purchases of foreign coarse grains.

And it came as a report from the USDA's bureau in Cairo flagged the rush by Egypt, the biggest wheat importer, to buy up supplies, despite prices some 50% higher than two months ago.

Private sector buyers, which import some 3m-4m tonnes of wheat a year, were likely to feel "the major impact" of the ban on Russian exports, on which Egypt has increasingly relied.

They typically hold only one-month's stock, and have "already started to buy from other countries", notably the US, snapping up 300,000-400,000 tonnes of wheat in the last two-to-three weeks.

'Moving aggressively'

The state grain buyer, the General Authority for Supply Commodities (GASC), has deeper reserves, of 4m-5m tonnes, sufficient to last about four-to-five months, the bureau said, adding that Egypt's food security had not been jeopardized by the Russian export ban.

Nonetheless, the authority was "moving aggressively" to replace 540,000 tonnes of Russian supplies cancelled by the export ban.

The government was considering an increase of up to $700m in the budget for purchasing wheat in 2010-11.

"This amount will depend on how much wheat GASC needs to import over the remainder of the June-to-May fiscal year, as well as the prevailing prices in the world market," the report said.

Shipment cancelled 

The cut-off of Russian wheat exports, and the difficulty some merchants are having in finding grain at prices they contracted before the rally, continued to reverberate through the grain trade on Friday.

A European supplier was reported to have cancelled the shipment of 80,000 tonnes of Black Sea wheat to Bangladesh.

Meanwhile, Algeria bought 200,000 tonnes of milling wheat of unknown origin.

On the markets, prices closed weaker in Chicago, down 0.7% at $7.02 ½ a bushel for September delivery, on trading volumes which were, at 40,000 lots, the lowest for more than two weeks.

Paris wheat for November added 0.7% to E214.50 a tonne, helped by a weaker euro, while London November feed wheat closed 1.5% higher at £155.00 a tonne, with the additional benefit of data showing lower sowings than had been thought.

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