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Brazilian coffee 2019-20

Below a running table of forecasts for Brazilian coffee production this year - an "off" year in the country’s biennial cycle.

 

Estimates for 2018-19 can be found by clicking here.

 

 

Forecasts for Brazilian coffee production, 2019-20
Arabica output
Robusta output
Total output
Exports
Carryout stocks
Date
Marex Spectron 38.3 19.8 58.1 March 6 2021
Rabobank 59.0 February 23 2021
USDA 42.00 18.50 60.50 41.240 December 11 2020
Marex Spectron 38.3 19.8 58.1 December 1 2020
International Coffee Organization 37 21 58 October 2 2020
Conab 34.47 48.99 September 18 2020
International Coffee Organization 37.12 20.88 58.0 September 1 2020
Marex Spectron 38.0 19.8 August 25 2020
Rabobank 38.8 20.2 59.0 August 18 2020
Rabobank 20.2 July 29 2020
USDA 41.000 18.300 59.300 36.624 1.373 June 12 2020
USDA attache 41.00 18.30 59.30 36.624 1.373 May 21 2020
Rabobank 58.2 May 21 2020
Fitch Solutions 52.569 April 6 2020
International Coffee Organization 57 April 2 2020
Marex Spectron 37.5 57.25 February 4 2020
Comexim 56.8 January 27 2020
Conab 34.296 15.013 49.309 January 16 2020
Ecom Trading 56-58 January 8 2020
IBGE 42.2 14.2 56.4 January 8 2020
International Coffee Organization 37 20 57 January 8 2020
Fitch Solutions 52.569 December 30 2019
Conab 34.296 15.013 49.309 December 17 2019
USDA 39.9 18.1 58.0 32.0 1.4 December 13 2019
Safras e Mercado 57.05 2.32 December 12 2019
Rabobank 38.1 19.5 57.6 November 20 2019
USDA attache 39.90 18.10 58.00 35.320 November 14 2019
IBGE 34.817 15.207 50.02 November 13 2019
Marex Spectron 56.8 October 28 2019
IBGE 35.10 15.19 50.29 October 10 2019
Cepea survey 50-54 October 1 2019
Conab 34.467 14.525 48.992 Sepember 17 2019
Rabobank 57.6 August 28 2019
Marex Spectron 57.5 August 20 2019
Safras & Mercado 58.9 August 8 2019
Marex Spectron 38.25 19.75 58.0 July 31 2019
Reuters survey 38 18 56 July 26 2019
Marex Spectron 58.5 June 26 2019
USDA 41.00 18.30 59.30 36.820 June 14 2019
Rabobank 41.4 18.850 57.6 June 14 2019
ECOM 60.280 June 14 2019
Fitch Solutions 53.876 June 11 2019
INTL FCStone 36.9 16.1 53 May 29 2019
Safras & Mercado 58.9 May 24 2019
Rabobank 57.5 May 22 2019
USDA 41.0 18.30 59.30 May 16 2019
Conab 36.982 13.935 50.917 May 16 2019
CoffeeNetwork 36.9 16.1 May 6 2019
IBGE 38.68 15.23 53.91 April 12 2019
Marex Spectron 39 19.5 58.5 April 12 2019
Sucden Financial 38.25 18.0 56.25 April 11 2019
Safras e Mercado 40.7 18.2 58.9 April 4 2019
Illy 55 April 4 2019
IBGE 38.18 15.23 53.42 March 12 2019
Volcafe 36 19.4 55.4 March 11 2019
Rabobank 38 19.5 57.6 March 4 2019
Reuters poll* 37.71 17.5 55 February 12 2019
Wolthers Douque 55 January 18 2019
Ecom 41.43 18.85 60.28 January 17 2019
Conab 36.119-38.157 14.362-16.326 50.481-54.484 January 17 2019
Comexim 38.4 19.8 58.2 January 14 2019
IBGE 38.2 15.22 53.42 January 10 2019
ICO 58.5 January 10 2019
Cooxupe 55 December 29 2018
Terra Forte 37 20 December 7 2018
3corações 35 20 55 December 6 2018
Societe Generale 40.395 14.94 55.335 November 21 2018
Rabobank 37.7 18.0 55.7 November 15 2018
CoffeeNetwork 50-55 November 14 2018
Terra Forte "record high" November 1 2018
Ecom "about 15%" down year on year "might increase" October 31 2018
Cooxupe "down about 20% year on year" October 29 2018

Data show production in 60kg bags. * for methodological reasons, total is slightly different to sum of robusta and arabica

 

**Estimate based on June report summary.

 

 

 

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