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Brazilian cotton 2019-20

Agrimoney’s round-up of forecasts for 2019-20 Brazilian cotton production and exports.

 

It is worth noting that the timing of the August start usually used in cotton marketing years comes soon after the Brazilian harvest - meaning that exports for 2019-20 will very largely be drawn from 2018-19 production.

 

Estimates for 2018-19 are available here.

Analyst

Area

Yield
Production
Consumption
Exports
Stocks
Date of forecast
Conab 1.665 1.802 3.001 0.6 2.125 1.765 April 8 2021
USDA Attaché 1.665 1.802 3.0 0.588 1.946 3.136 April 1 2021
Conab 1.665 1.802 3.001 0.6 2.125 1.764 March 11 2021
USDA Wasde 1.665 1.802 3.002 0.588 1.946 3.135 March 9 2021
Conab 1.665 1.802 3.001 0.6 2.125 1.764 February 11 2021
USDA Wasde 1.665 1.802 3.002 0.588 1.946 3.135 February 9 2021
Conab 1.665 1.802 3.002 0.58 2.0 1.91 January 13 2021
Conab 1.665 1.802 3.002 December 7 2020
Cotton Outlook 3.002 0.575 November 27 2020
USDA attaché 1.665 1.814 3.020 0.588 1.946 3.156 November 25 2020
Fitch Solutions 2.983 November 24 2020
USDA Wasde 1.665 1.802 3.002 0.588 1.946 3.135 November 9 2020
Conab 1.665 1.802 3.002 November 9 2020
Cotton Outlook 3.002 0.575 October 30 2020
USDA Wasde 1.665 1.759 2.928 0.588 1.946 3.063 October 9 2020
Conab 1.665 1.771 3.001
October 8 2020
Cotton Outlook 2.930
0.575
September 25 2020
USDA Wasde 1.670 1.747 2.917
0.587 1.946 3.052 September 11 2020
Conab 1.666 2.932 2.931
0.570 1.920
1.931
September 10 2020
USDA attaché 1.690 2.922 0.587
1.945 3.063 August 30 2020
Cotton Outlook 2.930 0.575
August 28 2020
USDA Wasde 2.917 0.609
1.946
3.030
August 12 2020
Conab 1.671 1.753 2.930 0.570
1.920
1.928
August 11 2020
Cotton Outlook 2.891
0.625
July 31 2020
USDA Wasde 2.874 0.653 1.905 2.985 July 10 2020
Cotton Outlook 2.886 0.650 June 26 2020
Anea 1.93
June 19 2020
USDA Wasde 1.670 1.721 2.8740 0.653 1.872
3.022
June 11 2020
Conab 1.670 1.727 2.886 0.640 1.700
1.978
June 9 2020
Cotton Outlook 2.879 0.650 May 29 2020
Fitch Solutions 2.87 May 14 2020
USDA Wasde 1.670 1.721 2.874 0.674 1.872
3.000
May 12 2020
Conab 1.671 1.723 2.879 0.650 1.700 1.962 May 12 2020
Cotton Outlook 2.88
0.675 May 1 2020
USDA Wasde 2.87 0.71 1.87 2.95 April 9 2020
Conab 1.677 1.717 2.88 0.69 2.000 1.62 April 9 2020
Cotton Outlook 2.85 0.67 March 27 2020
USDA Wasde 2.83 0.71 1.91 2.84 March 10 2020
Conab 1.670 1.708 2.85 0.71 2.000 1.578 March 10 2020
Cotton Outlook 2.824 0.715 March 2 2020
USDA Wasde 1.65 1.676 2.76 0.74 1.93 2.76 February 11 2020
Conab 1.703 1.658 2.82 0.71 2.000 1.548 February 11 2020
ICAC 2.76 1.7 February 3 2020
Cotton Outlook 2.755 0.715 January 31 2020
USDA Wasde 1.62 2.52 2.72 0.74 1.92 2.63 January 10 2020
Conab 1.662 1.658 2.755 0.72 2.050 1.489 January 8 2020
USDA Wasde 2.72 0.74 1.92 2.63 December 10 2019
Conab 1.645 1.658 2.727 0.720 2.050 1.461 December 10 2019
USDA attaché 1.652 1.669 2.758 0.784 1.851 2.697 November 30 2019
Conab 1.647 1.658 2.731 0.720 2.00 1.667 November 13 2019
USDA Wasde 2.53 0.74 1.87 November 8 2019
Cotton Outlook 2.716 0.715 November 1 2019
USDA Wasde 2.53 0.74 1.81 October 10 2019
USDA Wasde 2.61 0.74 1.85 September 12 2019
Cotton Outlook 2.600 August 30 2019
USDA attache 1.60 1.701 2.722 1.851
Cotton Outlook 2.700 July 26 2019
Rabobank 2.661 July 25 2019
Safras & Mercado 2.600 July 19 2019
USDA Wasde 1.55 1.686 2.61 0.78 1.74 July 11 2019
Conab 2.665 1.500 July 11 2019
USDA Wasde 1.55 1.686 2.61 1.79 June 11 2019
USDA attache 1.650 2.722 1.524 April 1 2019
Source: Agrimoney. Data in million tonnes, except area in hectares, and yield in tonnes per hectare

 

 

 

 

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