ao link

China soybeans 2019-20

With China the world’s top soybean importer, by a distance, expectations for its needs have a huge impact on the world market.

 

Agrimoney draws together estimates from a range of commentators for purchases in 2019-20

 

Forecasts for 2020-21 season can be found by clicking here

 

Estimates for Chinese soybean production and imports for 2019-20

Planted area (m hectares)

Production (m tonnes)

Consumption (m tonnes)

Imports (m tonnes)

Ending stocks (m tonnes)

Date of estimate

USDA Attaché 9.0 17.3 109.3 98.533

25.898

March 15 2021
USDA Wasde 9.30 18.1 109.2 98.53

26.8

March 9 2021
IGC 18.1 111.0 101.2

29.1

February 25 2021
USDA Wasde 9.30 18.1 109.2 98.53

26.8

February 9 2021
IGC 18.1 110.8 101.0

29.1

January 14 2021
USDA Wasde 9.30 18.1 109.2 98.53

26.8

January 12 2021
Oil World 101-102**

 

December 8 2020
IGC 18.1 110.8 101.0

29.1

November 26 2020
USDA Wasde 9.30 18.1 109.2 98.53

26.8

November 9 2020
USDA attache 9.0 17.0 108.0 98.5

27.355

November 2 2020
IGC 18.1 109.8 100.5

29.5

October 29 2020
USDA Wasde 9.30 18.1 109.2 97.4

25.66

October 9 2020
China ag ministry Casde 9.35 18.10 108.60 96.00

 

September 13 2020
USDA Wasde 9.30 18.1 108.2 98.0

27.26

September 11 2020
USDA attache 9.00 17.00 107.30 95.00

24.535

September 1 2020
USDA Wasde 9.30 18.1 108.2 98

27.26

August 12 2020
China ag ministry Casde 9.35 18.10 108.60 96.00

 

August 12 2020
IGC 18.1 107.5 95.3

26.5

July 23 2020
USDA Wasde 18.1 106.2 96

17.25

July 10 2020
China ag ministry Casde 9.35 18.10 107.10 94.00

 

July 10 2020
USDA attache 9.00 17.0 105.0 90.0

21.835

June 29 2020
USDA Wasde 9.300 18.1 105.2 94

26.24

June 11 2020
IGC 18.1 106.5 91.5

23.1

May 28 2020
USDA Wasde 9.30 18.10 104.20 92.00

1.63*

May 12 2020
China ag ministry Casde 9.35 18.10 107.10 91.00

1.85*

May 12 2020
JP Morgan 90

 

May 4 2020
China ag ministry 92.48**

 

April 21 2020
Platts "up to 90"

 

April 21 2020
USDA Wasde 18.10 103.70 89

22.37

April 9 2020
IGC 18.1 105.1 88.8

19.8

March 26 2020
USDA Attache 9 17 99.8 84

21

March 15 2020
China ag ministry Casde 9.35 18.10 105.51 87.68

-0.12*

March 10 2020
IGC 18.1 105.1 88.8

19.7

February 27 2020
Rabobank 86-87

 

February 27 2020
USDA Wasde 18.10 103.70 88

21.73

February 11 2020
USDA Wasde 9.30 18.10 102.70 85.00

19.73

January 10 2020
Fitch Solutions 16.96 104 January 10 2020
S&P Global Platts Analytics "up to 90" January 9 2020
USDA Wasde 18.10 102.20 84.50

20.16

November 8 2019
China ag ministry Casde 9.35 18.10 105.51 87.68 -0.12* December 10 2019
China’s national statistics bureau 18.1

 

December 6 2019
IGC 17.2 104.2 88

18.6

November 21 2019
Rabobank 87

 

November 20 2019
USDA Wasde 17.10 102.20 85.00

19.16

November 8 2019
China ag ministry Casde 9.07 17.23 104.85 86.20 -1.57* November 8 2019
USDA attache 9.00 17.00 80.00 18.836 October 4 2019
USDA Wasde 9.10 17.10 102.70 85.00

19.019

September 12 2019
China ag ministry Casde 9.07 17.23 84.00 -1.77* September 12 2019
USDA attache 9.00 17.10 80.00 18.279 September 4 2019
USDA Wasde 9.07 17.00 85.00 21.57 August 12 2019
CNGOIC 87 August 6 2019
USDA attache 9.00 17.10 80.00 18.324 July 30 2019
China ag ministry Casde 9.07 17.27 84.90 -1.63* July 11 2019
USDA attache 8.85 16.80 83.0 21.024 July 2 2019
USDA Wasde 9.07 17.00 87.00 21.37 June 11 2019
China ag ministry Casde 9.07 17.27 84.9 -1.54* May 10 2019
CNGOIC 89 May 7 2019
USDA attache 8.70 16.40 83.00 20.824 May 5 2019
USDA attache 8.70 16.40 91.50 22.624 March 23 2019

*= forecast change in stocks year on year

**= for calendar 2020

 

 

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