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Global coffee 2019-20

To help investors inform their own views on world coffee supplies, Agrimoney draws together forecasts from a range of commentators.

 

Estimates for the global estimates for 2018-19 can be found by clicking here.

 

Estimates for world coffee supply and demand, 2019-20

Organisation

Arabica output

Robusta output

Total output

World consumption

Balance

Carryout stocks

Date of estimate

USDA 95.306 73.192 168.498 162.841 36.651 December 11 2020
Marex Spectron 164.7 166.6 -1.9 November 30 2020
International Coffee Organization 96.054 72.783 168.836 167.592 +1.244 November 2 2020
International Coffee Organization 95.987 75.357 169.344 167.807 +1.538 October 2 2020
International Coffee Organization 95.987 75.357 169.344 168.392 +0.952 September 1 2020
Marex Spectron 164.8 167.2 -2.3 August 25 2020
Rabobank 167.4 163.8 +3.6 August 18 2020
International Coffee Organization 95.371 72.634 168.006 168.492 -0.486 August 4 2020
Reuters survey +1.85 August 3 2020
USDA 93.826 73.110 166.936 163.941 35.095 June 12 2020
Marex Spectron 165.4 169.7 -4.3 May 6 2020
International Coffee Organization 95.371 72.634 168.006 166.058 +1.958 May 5 2020
Fitch Solutions 161.8 163 -1.72 April 6 2020
Rabobank +2.5% year on year +1.6 April 3 2020
International Coffee Organization 96.370 72.494 168.864 169.337 -0.474 April 3 2020
Marex Spectron 165.8 169.1 -3.2 February 4 2020
Reuters survey -3.0 January 29 2020
International Coffee Organization 96.22 72.5 168.71 169.34 -0.63 January 8 2020
Fitch Ratings** 163.4 165 -2.12 December 30 2019
USDA 95.765 73.565 169.330 166.361 -0.443* 34.976 December 13 2019
Rabobank 93.647 71.144 164.792 167.981 -3.189 51.682 November 20 2019
International Coffee Organization 95.680 71.718 167.399 167.901 -0.502 November 5 2019
Marex Spectron 164.3 169.1 -4.7 October 28 2019
Rabobank 164.5 168.6 -4.1 August 28 2019
Marex Spectron 165.5 168.9 -3.4 July 31 2019
Reuters survey -2.5 July 26 2019
Marex Spectron 166.2 168.9 -2.7 June 26 2019
USDA 169.1 167.9 +1.2 June 17 2019
CoffeeNetwork +0.3 June 7 2019
Marex Spectron 166.5 168.1 -1.6 April 12 2019
Sucden Financial 158.50 163.87 -5.37 April 11 2019
Rabobank

 

 

165.2

167.5

-2.3

 

March 27 2019

Reuters poll

 

 

 

 

-1

 

February 12 2019

Societe Generale 166.844 167.415 -0.571 November 21 2018
CoffeeNetwork -3.9 to +1.1 November 15 2018
Rabobank

 

 

165.786

166.964

-1.177

 

November 15 2018

All data in million bags

*Calculated from year-on-year change in estimated end-season stocks. **reported as "2020"

 

 

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