Thailand sugar 2019-20

The table below rounds up forecasts for Thailand sugar production and exports for 2019-20.

However, while giving a good indication of market thinking, caution should be maintained in comparing data, which often vary in the type of sugar measured (eg in raw or white sugar terms).

The default marketing year for the Thailand is October-to-September.

Forecasts for Thailand sugar production and exports, 2019-20
	Cane area	Cane output	Sugar output	Sugar exports	Date
ISO			8.284	8.653	February 25 2021
Fitch Analytics			8.29		December 15 2020
USDA			8.294	7.0	November 23 2020
ISO			8.284	8.334	November 17 2020
USDA attaché			8.3	7.0	October 8 2020
Fitch Analytics			8.250		September 29 2020
ISO			8.284	8.626	September 1 2020
USDA Wasde			8.250	10.650	August 12 2020
Rabobank		65-70	8.15		June 30 2020
Fitch Analytics			8.500		June 10 2020
Tereos			7.8		June 3 2020
ISO			8.284	8.438	May 29 2020
USDA			8.250	10.650	May 21 2020
USDA attaché	1.74	76.00	8.25	10.650	April 14 2020
Rabobank		"down 40%"	8.6	6-7	March 30 2020
Green Pool			8.26		March 24 2020
BTG Pactual			9.00		March 20 2020
ISO			9.0	8.4	February 28 2020
Rabobank		70-85	8-10		February 27 2020
Fitch Analytics			9.835		February 21 2020
LMC International	"a 5-15% reduction"	75	8.3	"export availability just under 6m"	February 19 2020
Thai Sugar Millers Corp			10.5	6-7	January 31 2020
Marex Spectron			"around 11m tonnes"		January 20 2020
ISO			12.150	9.650	November 29 2019
Rabobank			12.2		November 20 2019
Marex Spectron poll			12.2		November 20 2019
Thai Sugar Millers Corp			"below 12"	8.5	November 8 2019
INTL FCStone			13.2	"around 10"	October 31 2019
Green Pool			12.55		October 2 2019
USDA attaché	1.74	124.1	13.54	10.50	September 30 2019
ISO			12.90	10.145	September 2 2019
Marex Spectron			"something like 13.4"		August 12 2019
Green Pool			12.55		July 29 2019
Marex Spectron			13.4		July 5 2019
Marex Spectron			13.1		June 26 2019
Rabobank			14.4*		June 18 2019
Thai Office of the Cane and Sugar Board		131	14.67		June 10 2019
Fitch Analytics			13.0		May 29 2019
USDA			13.90	11.90	May 27 2019
Datagro			13.50		May 15 2019
S&P Global Platts			12.90		May 14 2019
INTL FCStone			13.5		May 14 2019
All data in million tonnes, except cane area in million hectares *Rabobank estimates fall of between 3-4% compared with estimated production of 15m tonnes in 2018-19.