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Thailand sugar 2019-20

The table below rounds up forecasts for Thailand sugar production and exports for 2019-20.

 

However, while giving a good indication of market thinking, caution should be maintained in comparing data, which often vary in the type of sugar measured (eg in raw or white sugar terms).

 

The default marketing year for the Thailand is October-to-September.

 

 

Forecasts for Thailand sugar production and exports, 2019-20
Cane area
Cane output
Sugar output
Sugar exports
Date
ISO 8.284 8.653

February 25 2021

Fitch Analytics 8.29

December 15 2020

USDA 8.294 7.0

November 23 2020

ISO 8.284 8.334

November 17 2020

USDA attaché 8.3 7.0

October 8 2020

Fitch Analytics 8.250

September 29 2020

ISO 8.284 8.626 September 1 2020
USDA Wasde 8.250 10.650 August 12 2020
Rabobank 65-70 8.15 June 30 2020
Fitch Analytics 8.500 June 10 2020
Tereos 7.8 June 3 2020
ISO 8.284 8.438 May 29 2020
USDA 8.250 10.650 May 21 2020
USDA attaché 1.74 76.00 8.25 10.650 April 14 2020
Rabobank "down 40%" 8.6 6-7 March 30 2020
Green Pool 8.26 March 24 2020
BTG Pactual 9.00 March 20 2020
ISO 9.0 8.4 February 28 2020
Rabobank 70-85 8-10 February 27 2020
Fitch Analytics 9.835 February 21 2020
LMC International "a 5-15% reduction" 75 8.3 "export availability just under 6m" February 19 2020
Thai Sugar Millers Corp 10.5 6-7 January 31 2020
Marex Spectron "around 11m tonnes" January 20 2020
ISO 12.150 9.650 November 29 2019
Rabobank 12.2 November 20 2019
Marex Spectron poll 12.2 November 20 2019
Thai Sugar Millers Corp "below 12" 8.5 November 8 2019
INTL FCStone 13.2 "around 10" October 31 2019
Green Pool 12.55 October 2 2019
USDA attaché 1.74 124.1 13.54 10.50 September 30 2019
ISO 12.90 10.145 September 2 2019
Marex Spectron "something like 13.4" August 12 2019
Green Pool 12.55 July 29 2019
Marex Spectron 13.4 July 5 2019
Marex Spectron 13.1 June 26 2019
Rabobank 14.4* June 18 2019
Thai Office of the Cane and Sugar Board 131 14.67 June 10 2019
Fitch Analytics 13.0 May 29 2019
USDA 13.90 11.90 May 27 2019
Datagro 13.50 May 15 2019
S&P Global Platts 12.90 May 14 2019
INTL FCStone 13.5 May 14 2019

All data in million tonnes, except cane area in million hectares

*Rabobank estimates fall of between 3-4% compared with estimated production of 15m tonnes in 2018-19.

 

 

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