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US corn 2019-20

Agrimoney’s round-up of estimates for 2019-20 US corn production and exports.

 

 

Analyst Sowings

Yield

Production
Exports
Carryout stocks
Date of forecast
USDA Wasde 89.7 167.5 13.620 1.778 1.919 April 9 2021
USDA Wasde 89.7 167.5 13.620 1.778 1.919 March 9 2021
IGC** 13.621 1.775 1.995 February 25 2021
USDA Wasde 89.7 167.5 13.620 1.778 1.919 February 9 2021
IGC** 13.621 1.775 1.995 January 14 2021
USDA Wasde 13.619 1.778 1.995 January 12 2021
USDA Wasde 89.7 167.5 13.620 1.778 1.995 December 10 2020
IGC** 13.621 1.775 1.995 November 26 2020
USDA Wasde 89.7 167.5 13.620 1.778 1.995 November 9 2020
IGC** 13.621 1.775 1.995 October 29 2020
USDA Wasde 89.7 167.5 13.620
1.778
1.995
October 9 2020
USDA NASS 13.62
September 30 2020
IGC** 13.617 1.763 2.251 September 24 2020
USDA Wasde 89.7 167.4 13.617
1.765
2.253
September 11 2020
RJ O’Brien 89.7 167.4 13.617
1.800
2.253
September 3 2020
USDA Wasde 89.7 167.4 13.617
1.795
2.228
August 12 2020
La Salle Group 89.7 167.4 13.617
1.800
2.509
July 30 2020
IGC** 13.617 1.775 2.196 July 23 2020
USDA Wasde 89.7 167.4 13.617
1.775 2.248 July 10 2020
USDA Wasde 89.7 167.4 13.617
1.775 2.103 June 11 2020
IGC** 13.660 1.704 2.169 May 28 2020
USDA Wasde 89.7 167.8 13.662 1.775 2.098 May 12 2020
JP Morgan 89.7 1.8 May 4 2020
IGC** 13.692 1.704 2.161 April 30 2020
USDA Wasde 168 13.692 1.725 2.092 April 09 2020
RJ O’Brien 89.7 168 13.692 1.725 2.142 March 31 2020
IGC** 13.692 1.732 1.988 March 26 2020
Fitch Solutions 13.688 March 23 2020
IGC** 12.779 1.616 1.785 February 27 2020
USDA Wasde 168.0 13.692 1.725 1.892 February 11 2020
IGC** 13.692 January 23 2020
USDA Wasde 168.0 13.692 1.775 1.892 January 10 2020
Reuters pre-Wasde poll 166.2 13.513 1.757 January 7 2020
RJ O’Brien

89.9

166.5 13.553 1.775 1.902 December 10 2019
USDA Wasde

89.9

167.0 13.661 1.850 1.910 December 10 2019
Reuters pre-Wasde poll

 

1.919 December 4 2019
IGC**

 

13.570 1.889 1.673 November 21 2019
Rabobank

 

167.0 13.611 1.900 1.780 November 20 2019
RJ O’Brien

89.9

166.5 13.553 1.850 1.777 November 8 2019
USDA Wasde

89.9

167.0 13.661 1.850 1.910 November 8 2019
Reuters pre-Wasde poll

 

167.5 13.643 November 5 2019
Linn & Asssociates

 

166.6 13.536 November 4 2019
INTL FCStone

 

180.0 13.911 November 1 2019
IEG Vantage

 

168.6 13.792 November 1 2019
Michael Cordonnier

 

162 13.04 October 28 2019
Refinitiv

89.982

168.3 13.681 October 23 2019
RJ O’Brien

89.9

167.5 13.635 1.90 1.759 October 10 2019
USDA Wasde

89.942

168.4 13.799 1.90 1.929 October 10 2019
Reuters pre-Wasde poll

 

167.5 13.684 1.784 October 7 2019
IEG Vantage

89.782

167.5 13.695 October 4 2019
INTL FCStone

 

169.3 13.887 October 1 2019
RJ O’Brien

90

165 13.365 2.00 1.499 September 30 2019
Refinitiv

90.442

168.1 13.879 September 25 2019
RJ O’Brien

90

167 13.527 2.00 2.087 September 12 2019
Indigo Agriculture

86.2

159.4 12.5 September 12 2019
USDA Wasde

90.0

168.2 13.799 2.050 2.190 September 12 2019
Reuters pre-Wasde poll

 

167.2 13.672 2.002 September 9 2019
IEG Vantage

 

169.6 13.906 September 6 2019
INTL FCStone

 

168.4 13.809 September 5 2019
Allendale

 

167.71 13.755 September 4 2019
IGC**

 

13.4** August 29 2019
Michael Cordonnier

 

162 13.04 August 26 2019
Pro Farmer crop tour

 

163.3 13.358 August 23 2019
Michael Cordonnier

 

160 12.88 August 19 2019
DTN/Gro Intelligence

 

163.2 August 16 2019
RJ O’Brien

90.0

164 13.395 1.950 1.920 August 12 2019
USDA Wasde

90.005

169.5 13.901 2.050 2.181 August 12 2019
Reuters pre-Wasde poll

87.998

164.9 13.193 1.620 August 6 2019
Farm Futures 83.5 167.2 12.723 August 4 2019
IEG Vantage

 

167.8 13.857 August 5 2019
JP Morgan

87.0

169.0 13.233 1.90 1.438 August 2 2019
ProFarmer

85.8

August 2 2019
CF Industries

"around 85"

August 1 2019
ADM

"mid-80s"

August 1 2019
INTL FCStone

 

167.4 13.992 August 1 2019
RJ O’Brien

84.7

163.0 12.425 1.80 1.200 July 31 2019
Nutrien

85-87

"prevent plant more than 10m"

July 30 2019
IGC** 13.1**
Rabobank "7.4m corn acres left unplanted" July 23 2019
USDA 166.0 13.875 2.150 2.010 July 15 2019
USDA 91.7 June 28 2019
RJ O’Brien 89.7 160.0 12.917 1.80 1.587 June 28 2019
IGC** 13.13 June 28 2019
Reuters poll 86.7 June 25 2019
Soybean And Corn Advisor 160.0 12.07 June 24 2019
Refinitiv 84.70 170.0 13.30 June 19 2019
IEG Vantage 84.792 169.2 13.155 June 13 2019
USDA 89.8* 166.0* 13.680 2.150 1.675 June 11 2019
Pre-Wasde Reuters poll 172.4 14.251 1.917 June 6 2019
IEG Vantage 92.8 174.0 13.555 June 5 2019
SocGen 90.5 170.0 14.106 2.231 1.748 June 4 2019
Rabobank 88.5 170 "Near 1.6" May 29 2019
RJ O’Brien 86.8 168 13.416 2.175 1.296 May 29 2019
USDA 92.8 176.0 15.030 2.275 2.485 May 22 2019
Rabobank "base scenario" 91.0 176.5 14.735 2.375 1.845 March 28 2019
Societe Generale 91.5 179.0 15.018 2.499 1.816 March 13 2019
USDA 92.0 176.0 14.890 2.475 1.650 February 22 2019
JP Morgan 93.1 180.0 15.444 2.600 1.645 January 28 2019

Source: Agrimoney. Data in billion bushels, except area in million acres, and yield in bushels per acre

*For May, planted acres reported in the March 29,2019, "Prospective plantings."

**= converted from tonnes

 

 

 

 

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