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US cotton 2020-21

Agrimoney’s round-up of estimates for the US 2020-21 cotton balance sheet.

 

Estimates for 2019-20 can be found here

 

 

Forecasts for US cotton production, exports 2020-21 (in bales)
Analyst Plantings
Yield
Production
Consumption
Exports
Carryout stocks Date of forecast
Cotton Outlook* 14.702 2.296 March 26 2021
Rabobank 15.8
3.85
March 25 2021
Fitch Solutions 14.95 March 18 2021
USDA Wasde 12.09 811 14.7 2.3 15.5 4.2 March 9 2021
Cotton Outlook* 14.954 2.402 February 26 2021
USDA Outlook Forum 15.0 2.4 15.5 4.3 February 19 2021
USDA Wasde 12.09 825 14.95 2.4 15.5 4.3 February 9 2021
Cotton Outlook* 14.954 2.402 January 29 2021
USDA Wasde 12.12 825 14.95 2.4 15.25 4.6 January 12 2021
Cotton Outlook* 15.946 2.41 December 31 2020
USDA Wasde 12.12 850 15.95 2.5 15.0 5.7 December 10 2020
Cotton Outlook* 16.85 2.41 November 27 2020
Fitch Solutions 17.114 November 24 2020
USDA Wasde 12.12 911 17.09 2.5 14.6 7.2 November 9 2020
Cotton Outlook* 16.85 2.41 October 30 2020
Rabobank 16.7
15.0
"down 12% year on year"
October 20 2020
USDA Wasde 12.12 909 17.05
2.5
14.6
7.2
October 9 2020
Cotton Outlook* 16.85 2.41 September 25 2020
Rabobank "sub-17"
September 23 2020
USDA Wasde 12.12 910 17.06
2.5
14.6
7.2
September 11 2020
Cotton Outlook* 18.08 2.64 August 28 2020
USDA Wasde 12.19 938 18.08
2.7
15
7.6
August 12 2020
Cotton Outlook* 17.22
2.64
July 31 2020
USDA Wasde 12.19** 820 17.5
2.5
15 6.8
July 10 2020
ICAC 924 19.52 2.80 13.59 11.75 July 1 2020
Cotton Outlook* 18.31 2.75 June 26 2020
USDA Wasde 13.70 924 19.5
2.8 16.00 8 June 11 2020
Cotton Outlook* 18.31 2.99 May 29 2020
Fitch Solutions 19.01 May 14 2020
IEG Vantage 12.798 May 14 2020
USDA Wasde 13.7 924 19.5 2.90 16.00 7.70 May 12 2020
Bloomberg poll pre-Wasde 20.36 15.64 7.74 May 7 2020
Rose Commodity Group 12.593 849 18.94 3.100 16.500 5.092 May 7 2020
Nutrien 12.5
JP Morgan 12.0 May 4 2020
Cotton Outlook* 18.50 3.00 May 1 2020
Rabobank 13.0 20+ April 29 2020
USDA Prospective Plantings 13.7 March 31 2020
JP Morgan 12 March 30 2020
Rabobank "down over 10% year on year" "below 18" 16 4.2 March 27 2020
Cotton Outlook* 18.50 3.00 March 27 2020
Bloomberg poll pre-USDA report 12.4 March 25 2020
Cotton Outlook* 20.3 2.99 March 2 2020
Rabobank 12.8 "between 19.4m and 20.2m" February 27 2020
USDA 12.5 February 21 2020
National Cotton Council 13.0 848 19.8 2.85 16.4 5.9 February 15 2020
USDA baseline 11.8 845 18.2 3.00 15.45 6.45 February 15 2020

Data in million bales, except plantings in million acres, and yield in pounds per acre

*= translated from tonnes

** = area planted

 

 

 

 

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