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Live table - world coffee supply and demand estimates

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Forecasting the world coffee supply and demand balance is a tricky business - as can be judged from the spread of estimates for 2017-18, for which there no clear consensus even whether the market will see a surplus or a deficit.

 

To help investors inform their own views, Agrimoney draws together forecasts from a range of commentators, for both this season and last, which will be updated as fresh data come in.

 

 

 

Estimates for world coffee supply and demand, 2017-18

Date of estimate

Organisation

World production (m bags)

World consumption (m bags)

Balance (m bags)

January 2018

ICO

158.78

157.597

+1.183m

December 2017

USDA

159.888

158.475

+1.413

December 2017

Rabobank

155.6

159.7

-4.1

December 2017

Citi

152.5

156.1

-3.9

November 2017 Sucden

154.4

158

-3.6

November 2017 Societe Generale

156.383

158.588

-2.205

October 2017

Marex Spectron

155.3

157.6

-2.3

 

 

 

 

Estimates for world coffee supply and demand, 2016-17

Date

Organisation

World production (m bags)

World consumption (m bags)

Balance (m bags)

January 2018

ICO

157.964

155.061

+2.633

December 2017

USDA

160.531

156.845

+3.686

December 2017

Rabobank

157.6

156.2

+1.4

December 2017

Citi

153.9

154.0

-0.1

November 2017

Sucden

156.3

156

+0.3

November 2017

Societe Generale

157.436

155.563

+1.873

October 2017

Marex Spectron

157.3

155.3

+2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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