ao link


Linked In

French officials forecast dryness-hit rapeseed harvest at 16-year low


French officials underlined the poor prospects for the country’s rapeseed harvest this year, pegging it at a 16-year low, even as it nudged higher expectations for spring barley and corn plantings.


The French farm ministry, in its first forecast for 2019 domestic rapeseed production, pegged it 3.8m tonnes – representing a tumble of 1.1m tonnes year on year, and a result which would be the lowest since the 3.36m tonnes produced in 2003-04.


The estimate compares with a figure of 4.03m tonnes from industry group Coceral, although is in line with the latest forecast from analysis group Strategie Grains.


‘Very poor condition’

The ministry highlighted the setback to the rapeseed crop from weather conditions which, since autumn sowings, had been “characterised by a marked water deficit, and a mildness interrupted by a cold spell in January.


“Many crops have suffered from these conditions”, although in particular durum wheat, for which the weather was seen fuelling an 11.5% drop in area, and winter rapeseed, which accounts for essentially all the French harvest of the oilseed.


The ministry pegged the French rapeseed yield this year at 12-year low of 2.94 tonnes per hectare, while standing by an estimate of area at 1.31m hectares, the lowest in 15 years.


“With the exception of Normandy… the condition of crops is very poor,” the ministry said, adding that “drought and frost” had, besides creating flowering problems, “associated with attacks of flea beetle”, a damaging rapeseed pest.


Output in Auvergne was seen tumbling by 68%, and in Bordeaux by 59%.


Spring crop expansion

The ministry stood by a forecast for soft wheat sowings for the 2019 harvest up some 140,000 hectares year on year at 5.02m hectares – it has yet to make an official harvest estimate.


However, it raised its area forecasts for many spring crops, citing “the difficulties” faced notably by durum wheat and rapeseed.


The forecast for spring barley plantings was raised by 16,000 hectares to 589,000 hectares – a multi-year high, and well above the 478,000 hectares planted last year.


“Difficulties this year on rapeseed and beetroot prompted farmers to change to this crop.”


For corn, the sowings figure was upgraded by 10,000 acres to a four-year high of 1.50m hectares, with the ministry saying that area is “clearly increasing”, up 31%, in Centre region.


The sunflower area estimates was upgraded by 17,000 hectares to a five-year high of 624,000 hectares.

Related Stories

Evening markets: Grain futures suffer another start-of-week selldown

Bears are in the ascendancy as weather worries over the likes of North American spring wheat ease, and vegoils drag on the oilseeds complex

Brazilian corn 2020-21

Agrimoney collates estimates for Brazilian corn output and exports for 2020-21

Coffee targeted as funds sell down in softs - but buy in grains

Hedge funds halve their net long in arabica coffee, amid renewed demand worries amid the pandemic. But soybeans attract buying after a downbeat US sowings forecast

Ukraine corn 2020-21

Markets extra lists 2020-21 estimates for production and shipments in the top exporter of the grain outside the Americas
Home | About | RSS | Commodities | Companies | Markets | Legal disclaimer | Privacy policy | Contact

Our Brands: Comtell | Feedinfo | FGInsight

© 2021 and Agrimoney are trademarks of Agrimoney Ltd
Agrimoney is part of AgriBriefing Ltd
Agrimoney Ltd is registered in England & Wales. Registered number: 09239069